India Today Conclave Crystal Ball session: Will BJP win 2019 elections?

Speaking at the "Crystal Ball: Who's winning #India2019. And why" session at India Today Conclave 2019, the number crunchers predicted that NDA government and BJP are well-placed to perform well in the elections in the wake of the Pulwama terror attack.

Top psephologists of the country on Friday said the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), led by Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), look poised to secure a majority in the upcoming Lok Sabha elections.

They were speaking at the "Crystal Ball: Who's winning #India2019. And why" session at India Today Conclave 2019.

They talked about the number crunchers predicted that NDA government and BJP are well-placed to perform well in the elections in the wake of the Pulwama terror attack.

Cvoter psephologist Yashwant Deshmukh said it is going to be a normal election. He went on to suggest that BJP could see a 5 per cent upswing in votes.

"Everything went right for the BJP that could go right. On today's date, I agree with what Rahul is saying, clear advantage BJP and NDA," Yashwant Deshmukh said. He said BJP could either win by an absolute majority, adding that the NDA is closer to a majority.

Pradeep Gupta, psephologist, Axis My India, explained that each election has three major components: People, leaders, governmenance of the day. He was of the view that NDA government is currently in a very good position and could very well achieve 300 plus seats in the upcoming general elections.

Congress data expert Praveen Chakravarthy suggested that it is very important for leaders to work on the ground and "resonate with the people". Citing the three assembly election victories, he said the Congress party has been activiely taking party in regional politics and stiching alliances to take on BJP.

Political leader Yogendra Yadav, however, was not impressed with the predictions. He said if the election is played out in its fundamentals, the outcome would be against the BJP. "Don't know how Pulwama will affect the elections. This is one of the most brazen attempts to rob democrcy of its electoral mandate," he said.

VK Bajaj, a psephologist from Today's Chanakya, said clearly that the momentum at present is with the ruling party at the Centre. However, he mentioned that several factors could weigh upon the election including, especially any new development in Uttar Pradesh and West Bengal.