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Will October bring a market breakout? Earnings, GST price cuts fuel hope
UPDATED: Sep 19, 2025 16:27 IST
October is shaping up to be a crucial month for Indian markets. With the earnings season around the corner, festive demand set to kick in, and GST-related price cuts boosting consumption, optimism is building that the month could mark a breakout in sentiment. A recent US rate cut has only added to the positive cues.
Market expert Sharmila Joshi said, “Today saw some profit-booking, but there are two important things to keep in focus. Firstly, after a long time, we are hearing positive signals that the tariff situation may ease going forward.”
She added, “Secondly, we are now entering the earnings season, and let’s not forget the US has had a rate cut. These two factors could mean better numbers ahead.”
Joshi highlighted that festive tailwinds could amplify this optimism. “Optimism, coupled with festive cheer, should lift market sentiment. Managements are likely to be more positive starting next quarter, as GST-related price cuts are passed to consumers, the monsoon has been good, and volumes for FMCG and consumption-based companies are improving,” she explained.
Amid this broader mood of optimism, Adani Group stocks were in focus on Thursday, rallying sharply after the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) dismissed allegations of fund routing and related-party violations made by US-based Hindenburg Research. The regulator’s clean chit helped ease investor concerns and sent Adani Power soaring 13%, leading gains across the group.
The combination of improving fundamentals, festive demand, and easing regulatory overhang could provide the confidence investors have been waiting for. Market watchers believe October may hold the key to whether this rally can sustain and transform into a broader breakout.
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